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DS News August 2018

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72 NATIONAL SNAPSHOT Regional HOUSE FLIPPING REACHES A POST-CRASH HIGH NATIONWIDE Acquiring Costs Soar as Home Prices Continue to Grow By Bin He House flipping is the act of acquiring a home, performing renova- tions and repairs, and then selling it for a profit, usually during a short time period. For this analysis, a "flipped property" is defined as a property that was bought and sold within 12 months. Both dis- closure and nondisclosure states were included in the analysis, and while price-related metrics in nondisclosure states are not included here, the share of flipped properties to sales can be derived from public records. At a national level, the ratio of flipped properties to sales reached 6.2 percent in the first quarter of 2018, which matches the post- crash high in the first quarter of 2013 (Figure 1). e first time it reached this level after the housing crash, home prices had just started to recover, and there were still a considerable number of distressed properties on the market. However, the flipping dynamics have changed over time, with the share of distressed properties sold declining significantly, from 30 percent in January 2013 to 4.4 percent at the end of 2017, according to CoreLogic Market Trends. Additionally, as a result of six years of home-price appreciation and limited for-sale inventory, in many areas, home prices have already passed the peak values reached before the market crash of 2008. Consequently, the acquisition cost in nominal dollars for inves- tors has increased drastically (Figure 2). High acquisition cost, tight inventory, and rising flipping activities together point to possible speculation: investors are betting on continuous home-price growth. STATS AT A GLANCE The ratio of flipped properties to sales reached 6.2 percent in Q1 2018. The share of distressed properties sold declined from 30 percent in January 2013 to 4.4 percent at the end of 2017. In many areas, home prices have already passed the peak values reached before the market crash of 2008.

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