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DS News March 2019

DSNews delivers stories, ideas, links, companies, people, events, and videos impacting the mortgage default servicing industry.

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74 NATIONAL SNAPSHOT Regional SOUTHERN STATES LEAD IN EARLY-STAGE DELINQUENCIES Although rates overall continue to trend low, Mississippi and Louisiana led the pack in 30+ day delinquencies. By Molly Boesel In October 2018, 4.1 percent of home mortgages were in some stage of delinquency, down from 5.1 percent a year earlier and the lowest for the month of October on record, according to CoreLogic's Loan Perfor- mance Insights Report. e measure, also known as the overall delin- quency rate, includes all home loans 30 days or more past due, including those in foreclosure. For the month of October, the share of delinquent mortgages was highest in October 2010, at 11.5 percent. e share of delinquent mortgages fell below the level from the pre-crisis period (an average of 4.7 percent from 2000 to 2006) starting in March 2018. e serious delinquency rate—defined as 90 days or more past due, including loans in foreclosure—was 1.5 percent in October 2018, down from 1.9 percent in October 2017. e serious delinquency rate has stood at 1.5 percent since August 2018 and is now back to the average of the pre-crisis level of 1.5 percent. e foreclosure inventory rate—meaning the share of mortgages in some stage of the foreclosure process—was 0.5 percent in October 2018, down from 0.6 percent a year earlier. e foreclosure rate is now below the average pre- crisis level of 0.6 percent. e share of mortgages that were 30 to 59 days past due—considered early-stage delin- quencies—was 1.9 percent in October 2018, down from 2.3 percent in October 2017. e share of mortgages 60 to 89 days past due was 0.7 percent in October 2018, down from 0.9 percent in October 2017. In addition to delinquency rates, CoreLogic tracks the rate at which mortgages transition from one stage of delinquency to the next, such as going from current to 30 days past due. Figure 1 shows that in October the current- to 30-day transition rate remained well below levels seen during the housing crisis. e October 2018 current- to 30-day rate was 0.8 percent, down from 1.1 percent a year earlier. e 30- to 60-day transition rate was 13.5 percent in October 2018, down from 21.5 percent in October 2017, while the 60- to 90-day transition rate was 24 percent this October, down from 29 percent a year earlier. Figure 2 shows the states with the highest and lowest share of mortgages 30 days or more delinquent. In October 2018, that rate was highest in Mississippi at 8.1 percent and lowest in Colorado at 1.8 per- cent. No states posted an annual increase in the 30-plus-day delinquency rate, and North Da- kota was the only state not showing a decrease. Figure 3 shows the 30-plus-day past-due rate for October 2018 for the 10 largest metro areas. New York and Miami tied for the highest rate at 5.6 percent. e rate in Miami was down sharply from 12.5 percent in October 2017. San Francisco had the lowest at 1.4 percent. Hous- ton also saw a large year-over-year decrease in the 30-plus-day delinquency rate, falling from 11 percent in October 2017 to 5.3 percent in October 2018. Outside of the largest 10 metro areas, 18 metro areas posted an annual increase in the overall delinquency rate. e largest annual gains in the overall delinquency rate were in areas hit hard by hurricanes: Panama City, Florida (up 3.1 percentage points); Wilmington, North Carolina (up 2.5 percentage points); and Jacksonville, North Carolina (up 2.1 percentage points). STATS AT A GLANCE The nation's overall delinquency rate was 4.1 percent. The foreclosure inventory rate has flattened out at 0.5 percent, which is below the average of the pre-crisis period. No states showed an increase in the overall delinquency rate.

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