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DS News April 2020

DSNews delivers stories, ideas, links, companies, people, events, and videos impacting the mortgage default servicing industry.

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81 When a property goes into default, the servicer's challenge is always, "What can be done to minimize losses?" is means determining the optimal disposition strategy for a property or a portfolio. For example: what are the best alternatives to taking the property through conveyance or REO? Is the Claims Without Conveyance of Title (CWCOT) route the best one, and what would have to be done prior to conveyance? Can or should it be sold in an online auction? Does it make sense for the servicer to hold the property, invest in repairs, and develop a marketing plan to list it? Currently, servicers and their service providers are using limited historical information, time-consuming spreadsheets, and best practices to make these decisions. But what if machine learning and AI could provide faster, better answers? THE MACHINE "LEARNING PROCESS" at was the challenge we gave our data scientists and technologists two years ago when we set out to build a revolutionary asset-decisioning tool that complements servicers' core operating systems and processes and provides a new opportunity for automation. e starting points were deciding how many models would be needed to produce the inputs behind the recommendations and what were the best data sources to "train" them. Ultimately, technologists developed the models to solve complex problems that are critical inputs in the disposition decision process. e way machine learning works is that the models are fed massive amounts of data and taught to identify patterns so that they are able to predict certain outcomes. In this case, the models were "trained" on historical operational data from our field services and title companies. In addition, leading property, neighborhood, and real estate databases were integrated into the training process. Several of the models are designed to predict how a specific property will fare at third-party auction sale. One model gives a "yes or no" answer as to whether the property will sell at an online auction. Another looks at property and neighborhood characteristics and forecasts the timeline to sell, at a given price, in the CWCOT Second Chance program. What's the probability, for example, that this property in one particular ZIP code will sell online for Y dollars in one versus three weeks versus four? is model allows banks to understand timelines to sell at different price points and helps them develop more informed disposition and contribution strategies. e next questions that the models answer are about the physical and title condition of the property. e remaining models predict and price for the problems that the servicer might eventually encounter and potentially have to remediate. ey can be used with current title and field services information or simple basic data and property characteristics from the loan boarding process. For example, without an inspection, the models can forecast, in some cases with more than 90% accuracy, the likelihood a specific property will have certain outlier issues. ese include mold, water damage, hazardous conditions, roof, or demolition issues. ey then show the cost for repairs, ranging from minimum cost to maximum and provide a forecast and project timeline for conveyance back to HUD under CWCOT. As new properties are run through the platform, the models, thanks to machine learning, will continue to improve and its recommendations will become even more accurate. In the end, the ultimate decisions will always rest with the servicer, not a machine, but these tools will aid in making better and informed decisions more quickly. Miriam Moore is the Division President of Default Services for ServiceLink. In this role, she is responsible for the overall management and performance of the Loss Mitigation Title, Pre-Foreclosure Title, REO Title & Close, ServiceLink Auction, ASAP, Process Solutions, and Field Services groups, as well as the expansion of default products and services to meet servicers' strategic needs. Currently, servicers and their service providers are using limited historical information, time- consuming spreadsheets, and best practices to make these decisions. But what if machine learning and AI could provide faster, better answers?

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