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February 2016 - The Coming Evolution

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40 Ask the Economist Ralph McLaughlin Chief Economist, Trulia R alph McLaughlin was named Chief Economist at Trulia in January 2016. He joined Trulia in August 2014 as the Housing Economist. In his role as Chief Economist, McLaughlin leads housing economics research for Trulia and provides key insights about economic and housing trends as well as public policy for house hunters. Typically, the housing market sees minimal activity during the week between Christmas and New Year's. Why were existing-home sales still able to rebound in December from the November slowdown? e big jump in December was an anomaly because of the new "Know Before You Owe" lending disclosures went into effect in October, and in November we saw one of the biggest drops we've ever seen. Sales that normally would have closed in November were pushed into December, and December's numbers really supported that thought. We think December's numbers are an anomaly and the result of November's sales spilling over into December. We don't think it's representative of any long-term trend of a large increase in inventory. at said, 2015 was the best year for exist- ing-home sales since 2006. ere were about

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