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May 2016 - Walking the Tightrope

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38 Ask the Economist Tian Liu Chief Economist, Genworth Mortgage Insurance T ian Liu is the Chief Economist at Genworth Mortgage Insurance, responsible for tracking U.S. and regional economic trends. He also authors the company's Weekly Economic Report, and provides regular updates on U.S. and regional economies, as well as the housing and mortgage market. He recently spoke with DS News about what is in store for the housing industry for the remainder of 2016. We've heard predictions both ways on what the housing market will look like for the rest of 2016: On one hand, some say the tight inventory combined with home price appreciation and slow wage growth will hamper affordability. Others are forecasting improvements in inventory and wage growth that will lead to a more robust housing market. What do you think home buying will look like for the rest of this year? at's a very good question. You're actually asking it at the right time because I think we are about to get into the spring selling season. So it's a very important time in the year for the housing market. In terms of what we are seeing, let me start at the macro level. At that level, we are seeing very strong employment levels for the U.S. Basically, we are at full employment. e unemployment rate is about 5 percent. U.S consumers are in really

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